Author: Lucas Böttcher; Mingtao Xia; Tom Chou
Title: Why estimating population-based case fatality rates during epidemics may be misleading Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: embnko1q_16
Snippet: where τ inc is the incubation-time parameter, the time after infection during which an individual remains asymptomatic. During this incubation period, the patient has zero death rate but can recover by clearing the virus. In other words, some patients fully recover without ever developing serious symptoms. For coronavirus infections, the incubation period appears to be highly variable with a mean of τ inc ≈ 6.4 days [17] . We can estimate µ .....
Document: where τ inc is the incubation-time parameter, the time after infection during which an individual remains asymptomatic. During this incubation period, the patient has zero death rate but can recover by clearing the virus. In other words, some patients fully recover without ever developing serious symptoms. For coronavirus infections, the incubation period appears to be highly variable with a mean of τ inc ≈ 6.4 days [17] . We can estimate µ 1 and c using individual patient data where 19 patients (outside Hubei) had been tracked from the date on which their first symptoms occurred until the disease resolved [16] .
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