Author: Gerry Killeen; Samson Kiware
Title: Why lockdown? Simplified arithmetic tools for decision-makers, health professionals, journalists and the general public to explore containment options for the novel coronavirus Document date: 2020_4_20
ID: io2f52kn_50
Snippet: Like other recent models of COVID-19, our simplified formulation does not attempt to predict complex indirect effects of the pandemic upon morbidity and mortality from other causes that will be exacerbated by the expected pressures on a health system that is already overstretched. 53 Nor does it attempt to anticipate the extent of economic and social damage that will arise from different epidemic containment scenarios, 53 partly because doing so .....
Document: Like other recent models of COVID-19, our simplified formulation does not attempt to predict complex indirect effects of the pandemic upon morbidity and mortality from other causes that will be exacerbated by the expected pressures on a health system that is already overstretched. 53 Nor does it attempt to anticipate the extent of economic and social damage that will arise from different epidemic containment scenarios, 53 partly because doing so would defeat the purpose of developing a simplified arithmetic formulation.
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