Selected article for: "actual mortality and acute sars respiratory syndrome"
Author: Lucas Böttcher; Mingtao Xia; Tom Chou
Title: Why estimating population-based case fatality rates during epidemics may be misleading
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: embnko1q_5
    Snippet: During the severe 2003 acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in Hong Kong, the World Health Organization (WHO) also used the aforementioned estimate to obtain a CFR of 4.5% while the final values approached 17.0% [6, 7] . For the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks, analyses by WHO and other institutions still use the CFR = D(t)/N (t) metric (see Table I ). Since actual mortality probabilities are important measures for assessing the risks associat.....
    Document: During the severe 2003 acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in Hong Kong, the World Health Organization (WHO) also used the aforementioned estimate to obtain a CFR of 4.5% while the final values approached 17.0% [6, 7] . For the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks, analyses by WHO and other institutions still use the CFR = D(t)/N (t) metric (see Table I ). Since actual mortality probabilities are important measures for assessing the risks associated with epidemic outbreaks, typical underestimations by CFRs may lead to insufficient countermeasures and a more severe epidemic [8, 9] .

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