Author: Gerry Killeen; Samson Kiware
Title: Why lockdown? Simplified arithmetic tools for decision-makers, health professionals, journalists and the general public to explore containment options for the novel coronavirus Document date: 2020_4_20
ID: io2f52kn_51
Snippet: Despite its limitations as a relatively simple and untested model, the predictions described above are consistent with those of most other process-explicit models using more sophisticated mathematical formulations and specialist software, as well as recent reports of heroic 115, 116 success from China. 8, 26, 41, 117, 118 In fact, perhaps the most useful new lessons to be learned come from a few studies that reach substantively different conclusi.....
Document: Despite its limitations as a relatively simple and untested model, the predictions described above are consistent with those of most other process-explicit models using more sophisticated mathematical formulations and specialist software, as well as recent reports of heroic 115, 116 success from China. 8, 26, 41, 117, 118 In fact, perhaps the most useful new lessons to be learned come from a few studies that reach substantively different conclusions based on markedly different underlying assumptions.
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