Author: Ira B Schwartz; James H Kaufman; Kun Hu; Simone Bianco
Title: Predicting the impact of asymptomatic transmission, non-pharmaceutical intervention and testing on the spread of COVID19 COVID19 Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: 6okpsuvu_7
Snippet: To model the disease spread, we extend a classical Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model to include an asymptomatic disease state, that is, a group of people capable of spreading the disease without showing any (or invisible) symptom which would induce testing. Asymptomatic transmission is thought to be mostly responsible for the worldwide distribution of the disease, as early travel bans imposed by China and other nations have focu.....
Document: To model the disease spread, we extend a classical Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model to include an asymptomatic disease state, that is, a group of people capable of spreading the disease without showing any (or invisible) symptom which would induce testing. Asymptomatic transmission is thought to be mostly responsible for the worldwide distribution of the disease, as early travel bans imposed by China and other nations have focused on symptomatic cases (e.g., measuring body temperature at the airport) [6] , 3 . CC-BY 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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