Author: pierre magal; Glenn Webb
Title: Predicting the number of reported and unreported cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in South Korea, Italy, France and Germany Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: 9zeqigqa_23
Snippet: We fix the value χ 3 = 1. The values of χ 1 and χ 2 are fitted to cumulative reported case data in the early phase of the epidemic, when it is recognized that CR(t) is growing exponentially (i.e. we use an exponential fit χ 1 exp(χ 2 t) to fit the data CR(t) + 1). We assume the initial value S 0 , corresponds to the population of the region of the reported case data. The value of the susceptible population S(t) is assumed to be only slightly.....
Document: We fix the value χ 3 = 1. The values of χ 1 and χ 2 are fitted to cumulative reported case data in the early phase of the epidemic, when it is recognized that CR(t) is growing exponentially (i.e. we use an exponential fit χ 1 exp(χ 2 t) to fit the data CR(t) + 1). We assume the initial value S 0 , corresponds to the population of the region of the reported case data. The value of the susceptible population S(t) is assumed to be only slightly changed by removal of the number of people infected in the beginning of the second phase. The other initial conditions are
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- early phase and second phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
- epidemic early phase and second phase: 1, 2, 3
- exponentially grow and report case: 1
- exponentially grow and second phase: 1, 2
- initial condition and report case: 1, 2, 3
- initial condition and second phase: 1
- initial value and second phase: 1
- initial value and susceptible population value: 1, 2
- report case and second phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date