Selected article for: "Cruise ship and Diamond Princess Cruise ship"
Author: Paul F Rodriguez
Title: Predicting Whom to Test is More Important Than More Tests - Modeling the Impact of Testing on the Spread of COVID-19 Virus By True Positive Rate Estimation
  • Document date: 2020_4_6
    • ID: 06vc2y9y_5
    Snippet: Another example to consider is the Diamond Princess cruise ship case. According to the CDC all individuals were tested over several weeks, some multiple times (Moriarty, et al., 2020) . There were ~10% of individuals on board who tested positive and showed symptoms, ~10% who tested positive and showed no symptoms at the time of testing, and 80% negative. This suggests that if you have a number of tests on the order of the number of infected indiv.....
    Document: Another example to consider is the Diamond Princess cruise ship case. According to the CDC all individuals were tested over several weeks, some multiple times (Moriarty, et al., 2020) . There were ~10% of individuals on board who tested positive and showed symptoms, ~10% who tested positive and showed no symptoms at the time of testing, and 80% negative. This suggests that if you have a number of tests on the order of the number of infected individuals you would only get about 50% TP rate. If you had more tests and only considered symptoms as a predictor, then after the first 10% of the population (with symptoms), the TP rate would increase at the baseline rate of 1 out 9 tests. Contact tracking could help, but in some sense the whole ship was in the sphere of possible contact.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • baseline rate and population 10: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • baseline rate and positive test: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
    • baseline rate and test number: 1
    • baseline rate and testing time: 1, 2
    • baseline rate and week test: 1
    • contact tracking and infected individual: 1, 2, 3
    • contact tracking and possible contact: 1
    • contact tracking and test number: 1
    • contact tracking and testing time: 1
    • contact tracking and tp rate: 1
    • cruise ship and Diamond Princess cruise ship case: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
    • cruise ship and infected individual: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • cruise ship and infected individual number: 1