Author: Yuan Zhang; Chong You; Zhenghao Cai; Jiarui Sun; Wenjie Hu; Xiao-Hua Zhou
Title: Prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak based on a realistic stochastic model Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: 0xzsa21a_99
Snippet: Note that the first two populations can be directly observed, but population of E and IN is not observable. We can see that the observed accumulated confirmed cases and the population in IH lie in the calculated confidence interval well. Sensitivity analysis shows that the predicted confidence interval is stable against the uncertainty of γ A , which gives us more confidence in that the proposed model can capture the spread tendency of the epide.....
Document: Note that the first two populations can be directly observed, but population of E and IN is not observable. We can see that the observed accumulated confirmed cases and the population in IH lie in the calculated confidence interval well. Sensitivity analysis shows that the predicted confidence interval is stable against the uncertainty of γ A , which gives us more confidence in that the proposed model can capture the spread tendency of the epidemic.
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