Author: Rajesh Ranjan
Title: Predictions for COVID-19 outbreak in India using Epidemiological models Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 3vntjg8d_25
Snippet: The results for the exponential and SIR mathematical models are discussed next. Figure 2 shows the exponential model for short and long term predictions. Table 1 shows the estimated coefficients for this model. The lower and upper bounds at 95% confidence level are given, along with other statistical parameters such as standard error, t-stat and p-value for each co-efficient. Statistical parameters of this regression model is shown in Table 2 . T.....
Document: The results for the exponential and SIR mathematical models are discussed next. Figure 2 shows the exponential model for short and long term predictions. Table 1 shows the estimated coefficients for this model. The lower and upper bounds at 95% confidence level are given, along with other statistical parameters such as standard error, t-stat and p-value for each co-efficient. Statistical parameters of this regression model is shown in Table 2 . The co-efficient of determination for this fit is R 2 = 0.9768. Further, a very small p-value (∼ 0.000) indicate that all the regression parameters are statistically significant.
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