Author: Jouni T Tuomisto; Juha Yrjölä; Mikko Kolehmainen; Juhani Bonsdorff; Jami Pekkanen; Tero Tikkanen
Title: An agent-based epidemic model REINA for COVID-19 to identify destructive policies Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 9qdl3jt9_76
Snippet: An obvious goal identified for further development is that of calibration and further sensitivity analysis. We assume that calibration by applying this model to data from other countries shall give valuable information. However, the outcome is always affected by national differences like societal habits and other social-distance-related parameters. On the other hand, the epidemic in Finland is just starting and therefore the time-series needed (t.....
Document: An obvious goal identified for further development is that of calibration and further sensitivity analysis. We assume that calibration by applying this model to data from other countries shall give valuable information. However, the outcome is always affected by national differences like societal habits and other social-distance-related parameters. On the other hand, the epidemic in Finland is just starting and therefore the time-series needed (test positives, hospitalized and deaths) is still very short. With these obstacles in mind, we invite other researchers to contribute to this important aspect by contributing their knowledge and solutions to provide the best possible calibration procedures. We have identified Bayesian approach potential for this, for example.
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