Author: lianglu zhang; kangkang wan; jing chen; changming lu; lanlan dong; zhicheng wu
Title: When will the battle against novel coronavirus end in Wuhan: a SEIR modeling analysis Document date: 2020_2_18
ID: 32vs98ya_32
Snippet: Although some modeling studies on the epidemiological characteristics of 2019-nCoV epidemic have been reported so far, they had some limitations, such as the data come from the early stage of the epidemic. Due to the rapid change of the epidemic situation and the closure of Wuhan on January 23, many parameters related to the model have also changed, which affect the applicability and reliability of the model. The infection time index (TI) obtaine.....
Document: Although some modeling studies on the epidemiological characteristics of 2019-nCoV epidemic have been reported so far, they had some limitations, such as the data come from the early stage of the epidemic. Due to the rapid change of the epidemic situation and the closure of Wuhan on January 23, many parameters related to the model have also changed, which affect the applicability and reliability of the model. The infection time index (TI) obtained in this study was higher than that of SARS [12] and MERS [13] , but lower than that of 2019-nCoV in literatures [14] reported earlier.
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