Author: Saxena, A.; Bhardwaj, F.; Kumar, V.
Title: COVID-19 Forecasting: A Statistical Approach Cord-id: 5qh1k6fa Document date: 2021_1_1
ID: 5qh1k6fa
Snippet: Background: SARS-coronavirus-2 is a new virus infecting people and causing COVID-19 disease. The disease is causing a worldwide pandemic. Although some people never develop any signs or symptoms of disease when they are infected, other people are at very high risk for severe disease and death. Objective: If we're able to intervene to prevent even some transmission, we can dramatically reduce the number of cases. And this is the public health goal for controlling COVID-19. Methods: This article i
Document: Background: SARS-coronavirus-2 is a new virus infecting people and causing COVID-19 disease. The disease is causing a worldwide pandemic. Although some people never develop any signs or symptoms of disease when they are infected, other people are at very high risk for severe disease and death. Objective: If we're able to intervene to prevent even some transmission, we can dramatically reduce the number of cases. And this is the public health goal for controlling COVID-19. Methods: This article initializes an approach for comparatively accurate values prediction of new cases and deaths for a particular day in order to be considered for preventive measures. The three statistical analysis methods considered for forecasting are Fbprophet, Moving average and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average algorithm. Results: The results obtained are in-line with the past and present trend of COVID-19 data collected from WHO website. Conclusion: The output is satisfactory for further consideration.
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