Selected article for: "basic SIR model and SIR model"

Author: Juri Dimaschko; Victor Podolsky
Title: VIRAL MUTATIONS AS A POSSIBLE MECHANISM OF HIDDEN IMMUNIZATION AND CONTAINMENT OF A PANDEMIA
  • Document date: 2020_4_14
  • ID: fukn227t_54
    Snippet: Further, we can compare the maximum percentage of cases in Wuhan (with a population of 12 million, this is about 0.5%) with the prediction of a basic SIR model that ignores virus mutations. According to the above formula (4), for r = β/γ = 6.3, this value should be 55%, which is completely unrealistic......
    Document: Further, we can compare the maximum percentage of cases in Wuhan (with a population of 12 million, this is about 0.5%) with the prediction of a basic SIR model that ignores virus mutations. According to the above formula (4), for r = β/γ = 6.3, this value should be 55%, which is completely unrealistic.

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