Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; Rene Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Klaus Waelde
Title: Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: neba2o7n_13
Snippet: In Europe, however, the situation continues to deteriorate, with new cases being reported by authorities on a daily basis numbering in the thousands (WHO Situation Reports, 2020). However, bearing in mind the lessons learned from the case of the Hubei province, and to a lesser extent from the case of South Korea, this current period of explosive growth should, in theory, be followed by a slow tapering leading to a plateauing of the total number o.....
Document: In Europe, however, the situation continues to deteriorate, with new cases being reported by authorities on a daily basis numbering in the thousands (WHO Situation Reports, 2020). However, bearing in mind the lessons learned from the case of the Hubei province, and to a lesser extent from the case of South Korea, this current period of explosive growth should, in theory, be followed by a slow tapering leading to a plateauing of the total number of cases. We report in Table 1 the current infection rates in some European countries. The sample below represents 58% of the total EU population, including Norway and Switzerland. This sample is by no means intended to be representative and is for illustrative purposes only by considering some of the most a¤ected economies.
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