Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; Rene Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Klaus Waelde
Title: Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: neba2o7n_81
Snippet: The long-run sickness rate r Given uncertainty about the share r of individuals that turn sick from an infection, we undertook robustness checks. Instead of our value of 0:1, we also solved our model for an r ten times lower up to twice as large -as the left column of the next table shows. For each of these new values for r, we recalibrate the values for a and to match the initial observations of sick individuals. Table 3 Varying the long-run sic.....
Document: The long-run sickness rate r Given uncertainty about the share r of individuals that turn sick from an infection, we undertook robustness checks. Instead of our value of 0:1, we also solved our model for an r ten times lower up to twice as large -as the left column of the next table shows. For each of these new values for r, we recalibrate the values for a and to match the initial observations of sick individuals. Table 3 Varying the long-run sickness rate r
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