Author: LiXiang Li; ZiHang Yang; ZhongKai Dang; Cui Meng; JingZe Huang; HaoTian Meng; DeYu Wang; GuanHua Chen; JiaXuan Zhang; HaiPeng Peng
Title: Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_18
ID: nf51yjmj_17
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14.20036202 doi: medRxiv preprint 1.4 Simulation of the average latency Figure 4 shows the comparison chart of the average incubation period. We simulated the days in the range of 3-9 respectively, and found that when the average incubation period was set to 6 days, it could better fit the official curve, while the other simulated values are quite different from the official.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14.20036202 doi: medRxiv preprint 1.4 Simulation of the average latency Figure 4 shows the comparison chart of the average incubation period. We simulated the days in the range of 3-9 respectively, and found that when the average incubation period was set to 6 days, it could better fit the official curve, while the other simulated values are quite different from the official curves. It is also found that the shorter the incubation period, the faster the virus spreads and the greater the total number of infections. David mentioned that the incubation period of the virus is 3-6 days, which is not accurate.
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