Author: Lucas Böttcher; Mingtao Xia; Tom Chou
Title: Why estimating population-based case fatality rates during epidemics may be misleading Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: embnko1q_17
Snippet: Two out of 19 patients died, on average, 20.5 days after first symptoms occurred and the mean recovery time of the remaining 17 patients is 16.8 days. We show the recovery-time distribution in Fig. 2(a) . Since we know that the mortality ratio in this dataset is 2/19, we can determine the dependence between µ 1 and c according to µ 1 /(µ 1 + c) ≈ 2/19 (or c/µ 1 ≈ 8.5). The constant recovery and after-incubation period death rates [18] are.....
Document: Two out of 19 patients died, on average, 20.5 days after first symptoms occurred and the mean recovery time of the remaining 17 patients is 16.8 days. We show the recovery-time distribution in Fig. 2(a) . Since we know that the mortality ratio in this dataset is 2/19, we can determine the dependence between µ 1 and c according to µ 1 /(µ 1 + c) ≈ 2/19 (or c/µ 1 ≈ 8.5). The constant recovery and after-incubation period death rates [18] are estimated to be c = 1 20.5 /day ≈ 0.049/day and µ 1 = c/8.5 ≈ 0.006/day.
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