SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in a Rural and Urban Household Cohort during First and Second Waves of Infections, South Africa, July 2020-March 2021.

Kleynhans, Jackie; Tempia, Stefano; Wolter, Nicole; von Gottberg, Anne; Bhiman, Jinal N; Buys, Amelia; Moyes, Jocelyn; McMorrow, Meredith L; Kahn, Kathleen; Gómez-Olivé, F Xavier; Tollman, Stephen; Martinson, Neil A; Wafawanaka, Floidy; Lebina, Limakatso; du Toit, Jacques; Jassat, Waasila; Neti, Mzimasi; Brauer, Marieke; Cohen, Cheryl

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections may be underestimated because of limited access to testing. We measured SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in South Africa every 2 months during July 2020-March 2021 in randomly selected household cohorts in 2 communities. We compared seroprevalence to reported laboratory-confirmed infections, hospitalizations, and deaths to calculate infection-case, infection-hospitalization, and infection-fatality ratios in 2 waves of infection. Post-second wave seroprevalence ranged from 18% in the rural community children <5 years of age, to 59% in urban community adults 35-59 years of age. The second wave saw a shift in age distribution of case-patients in the urban community (from persons 35-59 years of age to persons at the extremes of age), higher attack rates in the rural community, and a higher infection-fatality ratio in the urban community. Approximately 95% of SARS-CoV-2 infections were not reported to national surveillance.