Author: Igor Nesteruk
Title: Statistics based predictions of coronavirus 2019-nCoV spreading in mainland China Document date: 2020_2_13
ID: bhm2un6v_1
Snippet: Here, we consider the development of epidemic outbreak cased by coronavirus 2019-nCoV (see e.g., [1] [2] [3] ). Since the reliable long time data are available only for mainland China, we will try to predict the number of victims V of this virus only in this area. The first estimations of V exponential growth, typical for the initial stages of every epidemic (see e.g., [4] ) have been done in [3] . For long time predictions, more complicated math.....
Document: Here, we consider the development of epidemic outbreak cased by coronavirus 2019-nCoV (see e.g., [1] [2] [3] ). Since the reliable long time data are available only for mainland China, we will try to predict the number of victims V of this virus only in this area. The first estimations of V exponential growth, typical for the initial stages of every epidemic (see e.g., [4] ) have been done in [3] . For long time predictions, more complicated mathematical models are necessary. For example, a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model was used in [2] . Nevertheless, the complicated models need more efforts for unknown parameters identification. This procedure may be especially difficult, if reliable data are limited.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- exponential growth and long time: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- exponential growth and mathematical model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36
- exponential growth and SEIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26
- initial stage and long time: 1, 2, 3
- initial stage and mathematical model: 1
- initial stage and SEIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4
- long time and mathematical model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
- long time and SEIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- long time and unknown parameter: 1
- mathematical model and SEIR model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74
- mathematical model and unknown parameter: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date