Author: Bonifazi, Gianluca; Lista, Luca; Menasce, Dario; Mezzetto, Mauro; Pedrini, Daniele; Spighi, Roberto; Zoccoli, Antonio
Title: A simplified estimate of the effective reproduction number [Formula: see text] using its relation with the doubling time and application to Italian COVID-19 data Cord-id: 954wur8r Document date: 2021_4_11
ID: 954wur8r
Snippet: A simplified method to compute [Formula: see text] , the effective reproduction number, is presented. The method relates the value of [Formula: see text] to the estimation of the doubling time performed with a local exponential fit. The condition [Formula: see text] corresponds to a growth rate equal to zero or equivalently an infinite doubling time. Different assumptions on the probability distribution of the generation time are considered. A simple analytical solution is presented in case the
Document: A simplified method to compute [Formula: see text] , the effective reproduction number, is presented. The method relates the value of [Formula: see text] to the estimation of the doubling time performed with a local exponential fit. The condition [Formula: see text] corresponds to a growth rate equal to zero or equivalently an infinite doubling time. Different assumptions on the probability distribution of the generation time are considered. A simple analytical solution is presented in case the generation time follows a gamma distribution.
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