Author: Haiyan Liu; Xuemei Bai; Huanfeng Shen; Xiaoping Pang; Zeyu Liang; Yue Liu
Title: Synchronized travel restrictions across cities can be effective in COVID-19 control Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: jxj10857_48
Snippet: We assume, after the Wuhan lockdown, local travel restrictions in cities outside Hubei contributed to the epidemic control by influencing population mobility 10, 16 . Data for three mobility patterns, except the population outflow from Wuhan, in two scenarios were obtained under assumptions. We assume the transmission conditions and virus characteristics in China would remain unchanged, and the best-fit models generated from the regression analys.....
Document: We assume, after the Wuhan lockdown, local travel restrictions in cities outside Hubei contributed to the epidemic control by influencing population mobility 10, 16 . Data for three mobility patterns, except the population outflow from Wuhan, in two scenarios were obtained under assumptions. We assume the transmission conditions and virus characteristics in China would remain unchanged, and the best-fit models generated from the regression analysis were used to estimate the number of confirmed cases in cities outside Hubei based on the changed mobility data. The differences between the estimated cases and the confirmed cases are caused by the implementation of local travel restrictions, implying they have an impact on control of the epidemic.
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