The accelerated infectious disease risk in the Anthropocene: more outbreaks and wider global spread

Serge Morand; Bruno Andreas Walther

Although it is generally acknowledged that correlation does not prove causation, the correlation between air travel and modularity specifically (Fig. 4) , and the relationship between increased . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license author/funder. It is made available under a The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.049866 doi: bioRxiv preprint mobility and the faster and wider spread of disease outbreaks (Table 1, Figures 1 and 3) in general make sense given theoretical models and real-world evidence (see Discussion below). However, we acknowledge that other factors may be responsible, especially variables which may covary with mobility measures. Further causal analyses are therefore required, but these are beyond the scope of this study.