Author: Maximilian Vierlboeck; Roshanak R Nilchiani; Christine M Edwards
Title: The Easter and Passover Blip in New York City Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 72v6qufw_51
Snippet: In numbers, given that increases of 25% and 50% seem to be most likely given the data seen in Germany for the Easter weekend for example [2, 3] , our simulations show the following increases (compared to realistic reference run) for a temporary 25% surge in contact rate: the total cases grew by 215,880, the maximum of required hospitalizations over time increased to 63,063, and the total climb in fatalities was 8,844 accumulated over 90 days. As .....
Document: In numbers, given that increases of 25% and 50% seem to be most likely given the data seen in Germany for the Easter weekend for example [2, 3] , our simulations show the following increases (compared to realistic reference run) for a temporary 25% surge in contact rate: the total cases grew by 215,880, the maximum of required hospitalizations over time increased to 63,063, and the total climb in fatalities was 8,844 accumulated over 90 days. As for the 50% surge, we saw the total number of cases rise by 461,090, the maximum number of required hospitalizations increase to 79,733, and the total number of fatalities climb by 19,125 over 90 days in NYC.
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