Author: Chen Wei; Zhengyang Wang; Zhichao Liang; Quanying Liu
Title: The focus and timing of COVID-19 pandemic control measures under healthcare resource constraints Document date: 2020_4_19
ID: 5psqro9d_16
Snippet: Should suppression fail, however, the isolation strategy would have had a negative impact on the total number of infected cases. At most an extra 1.2% of the population would have been infected (onset = +6 days, relative = 0.20) given proactive isolation ( Figure 3C ). Furthermore, increasing hospital bed limit from 4.8 beds (the real number in Wuhan) to 8.0 beds per 1,000 population would have provided a further cushion for transmission rate red.....
Document: Should suppression fail, however, the isolation strategy would have had a negative impact on the total number of infected cases. At most an extra 1.2% of the population would have been infected (onset = +6 days, relative = 0.20) given proactive isolation ( Figure 3C ). Furthermore, increasing hospital bed limit from 4.8 beds (the real number in Wuhan) to 8.0 beds per 1,000 population would have provided a further cushion for transmission rate reduction, but such an advantage would also have been diminished if the intervention had been postponed for 9 days ( Figure 3D&E ).
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