Author: Rahi Abouk; Babak Heydari
Title: The Immediate Effect of COVID-19 Policies on Social Distancing Behavior in the United States Document date: 2020_4_10
ID: 2jd7aa2d_44
Snippet: Finally, this study provides a partial picture of the effectiveness of social distancing policies, by focusing on the first stage, i.e. success of such mechanisms in achieving a lower level of out-of-home social interaction. The more crucial question is how and to what extent such reductions in different forms of social interaction impact the infection rate and disease mortality. This is especially important since the relationship between social .....
Document: Finally, this study provides a partial picture of the effectiveness of social distancing policies, by focusing on the first stage, i.e. success of such mechanisms in achieving a lower level of out-of-home social interaction. The more crucial question is how and to what extent such reductions in different forms of social interaction impact the infection rate and disease mortality. This is especially important since the relationship between social interaction and the infection rate is not fully understood and is expected to be highly nonlinear with strong dependencies on the location in which such interactions take place (e.g. parks vs. retail stores). Tackling these questions based on positive cases require more reliable data on the number, location, and policies for infection testing, something that is not widely available in most US states at the time of this writing. This problem can be in part mitigated by analyzing the policy effect on the death cases. Given that the median time from infection to death is reported to be close to 17 days, and since many states have issued their stronger policies in the last week of March, this study needs to wait for now until enough reliable data are collected.
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