Author: Tao Liu; Jianxiong Hu; Jianpeng Xiao; Guanhao He; Min Kang; Zuhua Rong; Lifeng Lin; Haojie Zhong; Qiong Huang; Aiping Deng; Weilin Zeng; Xiaohua Tan; Siqing Zeng; Zhihua Zhu; Jiansen Li; Dexin Gong; Donghua Wan; Shaowei Chen; Lingchuan Guo; Yan Li; Limei Sun; Wenjia Liang; Tie Song; Jianfeng He; Wenjun Ma
Title: Time-varying transmission dynamics of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia in China Document date: 2020_1_26
ID: 3e2soc6w_10
Snippet: In the early phase of an infectious disease outbreak, the initial reproductive rate approximated an exponential growth rate (20) . We selected a period of exponential growth in the epidemic curve to calculated R0, which was defined as the expected number of secondary cases produced by a typical primary case. Since the daily incidence data is an integer, Poisson regression was used to fit the exponential growth rate. We used a prior Gamma distribu.....
Document: In the early phase of an infectious disease outbreak, the initial reproductive rate approximated an exponential growth rate (20) . We selected a period of exponential growth in the epidemic curve to calculated R0, which was defined as the expected number of secondary cases produced by a typical primary case. Since the daily incidence data is an integer, Poisson regression was used to fit the exponential growth rate. We used a prior Gamma distribution for the generation time, with a shape parameter (mean generation time of 7.5 days) and a scale parameter (standard author/funder. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
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