Author: Sangeeta Bhatia; Britta Lassmann; Emily Cohn; Malwina Carrion; Moritz U.G. Kraemer; Mark Herringer; John Brownstein; Larry Madoff; Anne Cori; Pierre Nouvellet
Title: Using Digital Surveillance Tools for Near Real-Time Mapping of the Risk of International Infectious Disease Spread: Ebola as a Case Study Document date: 2019_11_15
ID: jwesa12u_246
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/19011940 doi: medRxiv preprint q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/19011940 doi: medRxiv preprint q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q Fig SI 25 : Observed and predicted incidence, and reproduction number estimates from WHO data. The top panel shows the weekly incidence derived from WHO data and the 8 weeks incidence forecast on log scale. The solid dots represent the observed weekly incidence. The projections are made over 8 week windows, based on the reproduction number estimated in the previous 2 weeks. The middle figure in each panel shows the reproduction number used to make forecasts over each 8 week forecast horizon. The bottom figure shows the effective reproduction number estimated retrospectively using the full dataset up to the length of one calibration window before the end. In each case, the solid black line is the median estimate and the shaded region represents the 95% Credible Interval. The red horizontal dashed line indicates the R t = 1 threshold. Results are shown for the three mainly affected countries although the analysis was done jointly using data for all countries in Africa.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- log scale and observed weekly incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- log scale and observed weekly incidence represent: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- log scale and reproduction number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
- log scale and retrospectively calibration window length dataset: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- log scale and shaded region: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- log scale and solid black line: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- log scale and weekly incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- log scale incidence forecast and reproduction number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- reproduction number and retrospectively calibration window length dataset: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
- reproduction number and shaded region: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
- reproduction number and solid black line: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
- reproduction number and weekly incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
- reproduction number estimate and weekly incidence: 1
- retrospectively calibration window length dataset and shaded region: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
- retrospectively calibration window length dataset and solid black line: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
- retrospectively calibration window length dataset and weekly incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- shaded region and solid black line: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
- shaded region and weekly incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- solid black line and weekly incidence: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date