Selected article for: "forecast interval and observed incidence"

Author: Sangeeta Bhatia; Britta Lassmann; Emily Cohn; Malwina Carrion; Moritz U.G. Kraemer; Mark Herringer; John Brownstein; Larry Madoff; Anne Cori; Pierre Nouvellet
Title: Using Digital Surveillance Tools for Near Real-Time Mapping of the Risk of International Infectious Disease Spread: Ebola as a Case Study
  • Document date: 2019_11_15
  • ID: jwesa12u_321
    Snippet: The figure only shows countries on the African continent for which either the 42.5 th percentile of the forecast interval or the observed incidence was greater than 0 at least once. The first alert in each country is shown using larger symbols (square or triangle). Alerts in a country in a week where there were no observed cases in the previous week are shown using hollow triangles. In each case, weeks for which all observed points were imputed a.....
    Document: The figure only shows countries on the African continent for which either the 42.5 th percentile of the forecast interval or the observed incidence was greater than 0 at least once. The first alert in each country is shown using larger symbols (square or triangle). Alerts in a country in a week where there were no observed cases in the previous week are shown using hollow triangles. In each case, weeks for which all observed points were imputed are shown in lighter shades.

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