Selected article for: "good performance and model performance"
Author: Peter X Song; Lili Wang; Yiwang Zhou; Jie He; Bin Zhu; Fei Wang; Lu Tang; Marisa Eisenberg
Title: An epidemiological forecast model and software assessing interventions on COVID-19 epidemic in China
  • Document date: 2020_3_3
    • ID: m9icky9z_48
    Snippet: θ I t . The black curve is the posterior mean of the derivative, and the vertical lines mark times of turning points corresponding respectively to those shown in Panel A and Panel C. Moreover, the 95% credible intervals of these turning points are also highlighted by semi-transparent rectangles in Panel B. As shown in these figures, the transmission rate modifier πptq played an important roles in shortening the key turning points of the epidemi.....
    Document: θ I t . The black curve is the posterior mean of the derivative, and the vertical lines mark times of turning points corresponding respectively to those shown in Panel A and Panel C. Moreover, the 95% credible intervals of these turning points are also highlighted by semi-transparent rectangles in Panel B. As shown in these figures, the transmission rate modifier πptq played an important roles in shortening the key turning points of the epidemic, and its effect on both estimation and prediction of the COVID-19 infection dynamics has been clearly demonstrated .

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