Author: Lucas Böttcher; Mingtao Xia; Tom Chou
Title: Why estimating population-based case fatality rates during epidemics may be misleading Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: embnko1q_45
Snippet: To summarize, we described two confounding factors that complicate the direct use of population-level mortality ratio to estimate individual mortality probabilities. First, infection-time distributions Ï(Ï„ ; n, γ) that are meaningful on an individual level may not correspond to those in population-level data. Second, population-level mortality ratios are often time-dependent and most informative only in the steady state after the outbreak stop.....
Document: To summarize, we described two confounding factors that complicate the direct use of population-level mortality ratio to estimate individual mortality probabilities. First, infection-time distributions Ï(Ï„ ; n, γ) that are meaningful on an individual level may not correspond to those in population-level data. Second, population-level mortality ratios are often time-dependent and most informative only in the steady state after the outbreak stopped.
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