Author: Gerry Killeen; Samson Kiware
                    Title: Why lockdown? Simplified arithmetic tools for decision-makers, health professionals, journalists and the general public to explore containment options for the novel coronavirus  Document date: 2020_4_20
                    ID: io2f52kn_52
                    
                    Snippet: Our predictions that contact tracing and isolation will play only a minor role in successful containment contrast with those of others 119 which assumed asymptomatic carriage by only 10% of cases or less, and which do not account for the detection dilution effect of similar mild symptoms caused by other common pathogens ( Figure 2B , D, F, H)......
                    
                    
                    
                     
                    
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            
                                Document: Our predictions that contact tracing and isolation will play only a minor role in successful containment contrast with those of others 119 which assumed asymptomatic carriage by only 10% of cases or less, and which do not account for the detection dilution effect of similar mild symptoms caused by other common pathogens ( Figure 2B , D, F, H).
 
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