Author: Gerry Killeen; Samson Kiware
Title: Why lockdown? Simplified arithmetic tools for decision-makers, health professionals, journalists and the general public to explore containment options for the novel coronavirus Document date: 2020_4_20
ID: io2f52kn_55
Snippet: The current global health emergency demands immediate, bold, pre-emptive decisions in the absence of unambiguous evidence, 127,128 based on our best understanding of COVID-19 epidemiology as it stands today. 35, 129, 130 The three key sequential actions every country needs to embrace as early and emphatically as possible are contain, eliminate and exclude. Even when faced with the prospect of lock downs lasting 4 months or more, there is no place.....
Document: The current global health emergency demands immediate, bold, pre-emptive decisions in the absence of unambiguous evidence, 127,128 based on our best understanding of COVID-19 epidemiology as it stands today. 35, 129, 130 The three key sequential actions every country needs to embrace as early and emphatically as possible are contain, eliminate and exclude. Even when faced with the prospect of lock downs lasting 4 months or more, there is no place for more timid terms like slow, flatten or mitigate when faced with an epidemic capable of overwhelming ICU capacity hundreds of times over or taking several years of restrictions to slowly burn through an entire population at rates that ICUs can cope with.
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