Selected article for: "outcome onset and total number"
Author: Bimandra A Djaafara; Natsuko Imai; Esther Hamblion; Benido Impouma; Christl A Donnelly; Anne Cori
Title: A quantitative framework to define the end of an outbreak: application to Ebola Virus Disease
  • Document date: 2020_2_20
    • ID: nnkholfe_22
    Snippet: where is the total number of cases (detected and undetected) during the onset-tooutcome delay period, is the reporting rate, and is the number of cases detected during that period, which is zero by definition. Bayes theorem was used to solve the Conservatively, a 21-day period was assumed as the maximum onset-to-outcome delay to account for both the average onset-to-death delay and onset-to-discharge delay (upper bound of the onset-to-outcome del.....
    Document: where is the total number of cases (detected and undetected) during the onset-tooutcome delay period, is the reporting rate, and is the number of cases detected during that period, which is zero by definition. Bayes theorem was used to solve the Conservatively, a 21-day period was assumed as the maximum onset-to-outcome delay to account for both the average onset-to-death delay and onset-to-discharge delay (upper bound of the onset-to-outcome delay), estimated during the West African EVD epidemic as 8.2 days and 15.1 days respectively with the majority of delays being <21 days (32) .

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