Author: Bimandra A Djaafara; Natsuko Imai; Esther Hamblion; Benido Impouma; Christl A Donnelly; Anne Cori
Title: A quantitative framework to define the end of an outbreak: application to Ebola Virus Disease Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: nnkholfe_60
Snippet: We therefore recommend a shift to a preliminary end-of-outbreak declaration after 63 days from the symptom onset day of the last detected case. This should be followed by a 90-day enhanced surveillance, after which the official end-of-outbreak can be declared. This corresponds to less than 5% probability of flare ups in most of the scenarios examined in our study......
Document: We therefore recommend a shift to a preliminary end-of-outbreak declaration after 63 days from the symptom onset day of the last detected case. This should be followed by a 90-day enhanced surveillance, after which the official end-of-outbreak can be declared. This corresponds to less than 5% probability of flare ups in most of the scenarios examined in our study.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- detect case and symptom onset day: 1
- enhance surveillance and symptom onset: 1
- outbreak end and preliminary outbreak end declaration: 1, 2
- outbreak end and preliminary outbreak end declaration shift: 1, 2
- outbreak end and study examine: 1, 2
- outbreak end and symptom onset: 1, 2, 3, 4
- outbreak end and symptom onset day: 1, 2, 3
- outbreak end declaration and preliminary outbreak end declaration: 1, 2
- outbreak end declaration and preliminary outbreak end declaration shift: 1, 2
- outbreak end declaration and symptom onset: 1, 2
- outbreak end declaration and symptom onset day: 1, 2
- preliminary outbreak end declaration and symptom onset: 1, 2
- preliminary outbreak end declaration and symptom onset day: 1, 2
- preliminary outbreak end declaration shift and symptom onset: 1, 2
- preliminary outbreak end declaration shift and symptom onset day: 1, 2
- study examine and symptom onset: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date