Author: Houssein H. Ayoub; Hiam Chemaitelly; Shaheen Seedat; Ghina R. Mumtaz; Monia Makhoul; Laith J Abu-Raddad
Title: Age could be driving variable SARS-CoV-2 epidemic trajectories worldwide Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 9huyb4cs_30
Snippet: Our study may have overestimated disease mortality by basing mortality rates on estimates of crude case fatality rate in China, as suggested by a recent study [13] . Our results are based on the most probable value for 0 R as estimated through 500 runs of uncertainty analysis. The latter may have biased our reported results towards lower 0 R . For instance, the most probable value for 0 R in China was 1.95, but the point estimate assuming the bas.....
Document: Our study may have overestimated disease mortality by basing mortality rates on estimates of crude case fatality rate in China, as suggested by a recent study [13] . Our results are based on the most probable value for 0 R as estimated through 500 runs of uncertainty analysis. The latter may have biased our reported results towards lower 0 R . For instance, the most probable value for 0 R in China was 1.95, but the point estimate assuming the baseline values of the input parameters was higher at 2.10 [4] . Despite these limitations, our parsimonious model, tailored to the nature of available data, was able to reproduce the epidemic as observed in China [4] , and generated results that are valid to a wide range of model assumptions.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- fatality rate and mortality rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75
- fatality rate and point estimate: 1, 2, 3, 4
- fatality rate and recent study: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- fatality rate and uncertainty analysis: 1
- fatality rate and wide range: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
- input parameter and wide range: 1
- model assumption and uncertainty analysis: 1
- model assumption and wide range: 1, 2, 3, 4
- mortality rate and parsimonious model: 1, 2
- mortality rate and point estimate: 1, 2, 3
- mortality rate and recent study: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20
- parsimonious model and wide range: 1
- point estimate and uncertainty analysis: 1
- point estimate and wide range: 1, 2
- recent study and wide range: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- uncertainty analysis and wide range: 1, 2, 3
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date