Author: Nicholas G Davies; Petra Klepac; Yang Liu; Kiesha Prem; Mark Jit; Rosalind M Eggo
Title: Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: 8f76vhyz_58
Snippet: Above, C k is the observed incidence on day k while c k is the model-predicted incidence for day k, for each of K days. A m is the observed age distribution for time period m (case counts for each age group) while a m is the model-predicted age distribution for the same period, and is the total number of cases over all age groups in time period m , measured for M time |a || | m periods. We set the precision of each distribution to 200 to capture .....
Document: Above, C k is the observed incidence on day k while c k is the model-predicted incidence for day k, for each of K days. A m is the observed age distribution for time period m (case counts for each age group) while a m is the model-predicted age distribution for the same period, and is the total number of cases over all age groups in time period m , measured for M time |a || | m periods. We set the precision of each distribution to 200 to capture additional uncertainty in data points that would not be captured with a Poisson or multinomial likelihood model.
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