Author: Guenter K.F. Baerwolff
Title: A Contribution to the Mathematical Modeling of the Corona/COVID-19 Pandemic Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 69wk591l_37
Snippet: Data from China and South Korea suggests that the group of infected people with an age of 70 or more is of magnitude 10%. This group has a significant higher mortality rate than the rest of the infected people. Thus we can presume that α=10% of I must be especially sheltered and possibly medicated very intensively as a highrisk group. This result proves the usefulness of a lockdown or a strict social distancing during an epidemic disease. We obs.....
Document: Data from China and South Korea suggests that the group of infected people with an age of 70 or more is of magnitude 10%. This group has a significant higher mortality rate than the rest of the infected people. Thus we can presume that α=10% of I must be especially sheltered and possibly medicated very intensively as a highrisk group. This result proves the usefulness of a lockdown or a strict social distancing during an epidemic disease. We observe a flattening of the infection curve as requested by politicians and health professionals. With a strict social distancing for a limited time one can save time to find vaccines and time to improve the possibilities to help high-risk people in hospitals.
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