Author: Muhammad Qasim; Waqas Ahmad; Minami Yoshida; Maree Gould; Muhammad Yasir
Title: Analysis of the Worldwide Corona Virus (COVID-19) Pandemic Trend;A Modelling Study to Predict Its Spread Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: 8lku99jc_2
Snippet: In this study, we have utilized the Successive Approximation Method by using real-time COVID-19 global data to model daily reported cases and predict the future state of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings suggest that despite self-isolation, the banning of social occasions and the implementation of quarantine worldwide in major cities such as Korea, Japan and China, the mean ratio (η) of expected cases and death is still progressing. Our foreca.....
Document: In this study, we have utilized the Successive Approximation Method by using real-time COVID-19 global data to model daily reported cases and predict the future state of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings suggest that despite self-isolation, the banning of social occasions and the implementation of quarantine worldwide in major cities such as Korea, Japan and China, the mean ratio (η) of expected cases and death is still progressing. Our forecast of epidemic rolling will help realise the public health risk worldwide accounting for social, economic and health implications. For instance, the accurate and reliable predictions of COVID-19 pandemic size can help with planning how many COVID-19 vaccination doses to produce and by which date they will be required.
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