Author: Qinghe Liu; Zhicheng Liu; Deqiang Li; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Assessing the Tendency of 2019-nCoV (COVID-19) Outbreak in China Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: 5dd89gnm_57
Snippet: We performed simulation analysis of COVID-19 based on Flow-SEHIR model. From analysis, we draw the following conclusions: (1) We used the experimental results before January 20, 2020 (before the official confirmation that COVID-19 has the phenomenon of human-to-human transmission) to simulate the natural transmission of the SARS-CoV-2. The basic reproductive numbers R 0 was estimated to be 3.56 (95% CI: 2.31 -4.81). (2) The peak of areas except H.....
Document: We performed simulation analysis of COVID-19 based on Flow-SEHIR model. From analysis, we draw the following conclusions: (1) We used the experimental results before January 20, 2020 (before the official confirmation that COVID-19 has the phenomenon of human-to-human transmission) to simulate the natural transmission of the SARS-CoV-2. The basic reproductive numbers R 0 was estimated to be 3.56 (95% CI: 2.31 -4.81). (2) The peak of areas except Hubei in China will come at March 13, 2020 (95% CI:
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