Author: Antonio Scala; Andrea Flori; Alessandro Spelta; Emanuele Brugnoli; Matteo Cinelli; Walter Quattrociocchi; Fabio Pammolli
Title: Between Geography and Demography: Key Interdependencies and Exit Mechanisms for Covid-19 Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: bf098qcr_48
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . Fig. 5 shows how the percentage of people with visible symptoms (O) varies once the age class heterogeneity has been added into the model. Introducing age structure in the model may lessen the peak we would observe in the case of full release and could allow to set up different exit strategies based on agetargeted policies for dampening a possible upturn of contagion. S.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . Fig. 5 shows how the percentage of people with visible symptoms (O) varies once the age class heterogeneity has been added into the model. Introducing age structure in the model may lessen the peak we would observe in the case of full release and could allow to set up different exit strategies based on agetargeted policies for dampening a possible upturn of contagion. Specifically, quarantine measures applied to only elderly people may limit the impact of a renewed upward phase, while maintaining lockdown restrictions to all classes except the middle age class (20-69) could be enough to smooth and lessen the propagation of contagion in the post-lockdown phase.
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