Author: Katalin Gemes; Mats Talback; Karin Modig; Anders Ahlbom; Anita Berglund; Maria Feychting; Anthony Matthews
Title: Burden and prevalence of prognostic factors for severe covid-19 disease in Sweden Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: lokj2170_31
Snippet: This study gives an accurate overview of the burden and prevalence of individuals in Sweden with the prognostic factors for severe COVID-19 disease. We have not made any attempt to model the transmission of the disease, but rather provide clear calculations of the number of vulnerable individuals based on current guidelines. The burden of severe COVID-19 disease will not reach the numbers we report in this study if public health interventions and.....
Document: This study gives an accurate overview of the burden and prevalence of individuals in Sweden with the prognostic factors for severe COVID-19 disease. We have not made any attempt to model the transmission of the disease, but rather provide clear calculations of the number of vulnerable individuals based on current guidelines. The burden of severe COVID-19 disease will not reach the numbers we report in this study if public health interventions and mitigation strategies are successful. However, these numbers will allow authorities to optimally plan healthcare resources, by comparing the number of individuals at risk of severe disease with the critical care capacity. These results can also be applied to underlying assumptions of disease burden in modelling efforts to support COVID-19 planning. Overall, this information is crucial when deciding appropriate strategies to mitigate the pandemic and reduce both the direct mortality burden from the disease itself, and the indirect mortality burden from potentially overwhelmed health systems.
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