Author: Alexander Lachmann
Title: Correcting under-reported COVID-19 case numbers Document date: 2020_3_18
ID: gttuxtw6_18
Snippet: The proposed model assumes that the growth of COVID-19 undergoes two distinct phases. The first is unhindered growth at observed constant rates of 1.33/day. This expansion phase is followed by an exponentially decreasing function. We align countries to the respected position in the growth rate phase. If the latest available growth rates are showing constant growth rates we assume the country will enter the second phase the next day. We estimate p.....
Document: The proposed model assumes that the growth of COVID-19 undergoes two distinct phases. The first is unhindered growth at observed constant rates of 1.33/day. This expansion phase is followed by an exponentially decreasing function. We align countries to the respected position in the growth rate phase. If the latest available growth rates are showing constant growth rates we assume the country will enter the second phase the next day. We estimate predicted deaths at future time points with:
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- constant rate and day constant rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- constant rate and exponentially decrease: 1
- constant rate and future time point: 1
- constant rate and growth rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- constant rate and growth rate phase: 1, 2
- expansion phase and growth rate: 1, 2
- exponentially decrease and growth rate: 1, 2, 3
- exponentially decrease and growth rate phase: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date