Selected article for: "low likelihood and lower upper"

Author: Romney B. Duffey; Enrico Zio
Title: Analysing recovery from pandemics by Learning Theory: the case of CoVid-19
  • Document date: 2020_4_14
  • ID: mh7mzuoe_48
    Snippet: So the possible probability reduction , or Likelihood, must be considered in a future estimate based on projections using past data. This simple-minded upper and lower limit comparison suggests the individual Likelihood is about 0.0002, or very low. Societal countermeasures reduced the risk by a factor of 500 to 5000 over the inevitable "worst case" random spread of infection or survival-of-only-the-fittest scenarios......
    Document: So the possible probability reduction , or Likelihood, must be considered in a future estimate based on projections using past data. This simple-minded upper and lower limit comparison suggests the individual Likelihood is about 0.0002, or very low. Societal countermeasures reduced the risk by a factor of 500 to 5000 over the inevitable "worst case" random spread of infection or survival-of-only-the-fittest scenarios.

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