Author: Pai Liu; Payton Beeler; Rajan K Chakrabarty
Title: COVID-19 Progression Timeline and Effectiveness of Response-to-Spread Interventions across the United States Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: 6ymuovl2_13
Snippet: ( Figure 3 ) Figure 4 retrospectively shows the decay of intervention effectiveness over time. Panel (a) shows that the amount of time we can buy (with interstate mobility reduction and transmissibility reduction) decreases gradually and steadily during the first two weeks of March. Panel (b) benchmarks the interventions with an effectiveness factor -defined as the normalized percent of reduction in epidemic peak magnitude. The effectiveness of 9.....
Document: ( Figure 3 ) Figure 4 retrospectively shows the decay of intervention effectiveness over time. Panel (a) shows that the amount of time we can buy (with interstate mobility reduction and transmissibility reduction) decreases gradually and steadily during the first two weeks of March. Panel (b) benchmarks the interventions with an effectiveness factor -defined as the normalized percent of reduction in epidemic peak magnitude. The effectiveness of 90% interstate mobility reduction rapidly decreases to a negligible level; Whereas the effectiveness of 25% transmissibility remains constant. Again, we emphasize here that the opportunity window of containing COVID-19 via aggressive traffic restriction has already been closed, and therefore the limited resources should be directed towards reducing COVID-19 transmissibility on individual and community level.
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