Author: Clément Massonnaud; Jonathan Roux; Pascal Crépey
Title: COVID-19: Forecasting short term hospital needs in France Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: i46n70gb_2
Snippet: The basic reproductive number (R 0 ) was estimated in various studies 9-19 starting at 1.4, up to 7.23. Most countries have now implemented control strategies involving contact tracing, quarantine, and isolation measures, which are likely to significantly reduce the R 0 . Li and colleagues used individually documented case descriptions from China to estimate a reproductive number in the context of control measures (R c ) 17 . It was estimated to .....
Document: The basic reproductive number (R 0 ) was estimated in various studies 9-19 starting at 1.4, up to 7.23. Most countries have now implemented control strategies involving contact tracing, quarantine, and isolation measures, which are likely to significantly reduce the R 0 . Li and colleagues used individually documented case descriptions from China to estimate a reproductive number in the context of control measures (R c ) 17 . It was estimated to be 1.54. Zhou and colleagues 19 estimated a controlled reproduction number between 1.46 and 2.99. They also estimated mean incubation and contagious periods of 5 and 11 days, respectively.
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