Author: Clément Massonnaud; Jonathan Roux; Pascal Crépey
Title: COVID-19: Forecasting short term hospital needs in France Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: i46n70gb_4
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03. 16.20036939 doi: medRxiv preprint Abbott and colleagues estimated the reproduction number of 24 countries using publicly available data with a 7-day sliding window. Their estimate for France in date of March 13 was between 1.4 and 3.2. 20 Several models have already been developed to forecast propagation dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics in.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03. 16.20036939 doi: medRxiv preprint Abbott and colleagues estimated the reproduction number of 24 countries using publicly available data with a 7-day sliding window. Their estimate for France in date of March 13 was between 1.4 and 3.2. 20 Several models have already been developed to forecast propagation dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics in various settings. However, models in European context are lacking. Danon and colleagues explored disease transmission in England and Wales by adapting an existing stochastic, metapopulation model. 21 Pinotti and colleagues modeled international importation of COVID-19 cases to assess rapidity of isolation, effect of intervention, and undetection rates. 22 To this date, no models have been developed to analyze COVID-19 propagation dynamics in France.
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