Author: Shaun A Truelove; Orit Abrahim; Chiara Altare; Andrew Azman; Paul B Spiegel
Title: COVID-19: Projecting the impact in Rohingya refugee camps and beyond Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 6njag0dq_17
Snippet: Existing inpatient facilities in the camps are already operating close to full bed occupancy, and all scenarios show that they will be overwhelmed. Under current conditions, we expect this to occur within 2 to 4.5 months (58-139 days) of the first introduction of the virus, with cumulative hospitalizations reaching 84 to 18,931 in the first 3 months, depending upon the scenario; these numbers rise dramatically by 12 months. Current hospital bed s.....
Document: Existing inpatient facilities in the camps are already operating close to full bed occupancy, and all scenarios show that they will be overwhelmed. Under current conditions, we expect this to occur within 2 to 4.5 months (58-139 days) of the first introduction of the virus, with cumulative hospitalizations reaching 84 to 18,931 in the first 3 months, depending upon the scenario; these numbers rise dramatically by 12 months. Current hospital bed surge capacity (630) as reported from the site may almost double the number of available beds, but even then, it only delays overwhelming the capacity by 3-10 days on average (Table S2) . Furthermore, while we have focused on the health needs of severe cases, health centers will be flooded with patients with mild to moderate symptoms also seeking care.
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