Author: Askery Canabarro; Elayne Tenorio; Renato Martins; Lais Martins; Samurai Brito; Rafael Chaves
Title: Data-Driven Study of the the COVID-19 Pandemic via Age-Structured Modelling and Prediction of the Health System Failure in Brazil amid Diverse Intervention Strategies Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: kyy4z4wu_34
Snippet: In our model, this intense quarantine is supposed to be applied around 20 days after our initial time (March, 21) . As discussed in the NPI section, no measure is instantaneous efficient, taking on average a time t β ≈ 14 days to be completely noticed [21] . In spite of that, notice that the increase in the ICU demand is rapidly contained. Moreover, it is important to mention that such a intense quarantine should last enough time until we reac.....
Document: In our model, this intense quarantine is supposed to be applied around 20 days after our initial time (March, 21) . As discussed in the NPI section, no measure is instantaneous efficient, taking on average a time t β ≈ 14 days to be completely noticed [21] . In spite of that, notice that the increase in the ICU demand is rapidly contained. Moreover, it is important to mention that such a intense quarantine should last enough time until we reach a plateau in the ICU demand. Not only the quarantine protects the health system, but also corresponds to a minimization of the number of deaths, massively reducing it.
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