Selected article for: "expected number and infection probability"
Author: Alex Arenas; Wesley Cota; Jesus Gomez-Gardenes; Sergio Gomez; Clara Granell; Joan T. Matamalas; David Soriano-Panos; Benjamin Steinegger
Title: Derivation of the effective reproduction number R for COVID-19 in relation to mobility restrictions and confinement
  • Document date: 2020_4_8
    • ID: nyjjaasw_10
    Snippet: Let us consider, first, an scenario (in physics know as mean-field) in which an infected subject i makes k contacts each time step. Assuming an infection probability β, the expected number of individuals infected by i at each time step is β k ρ S , where ρ S is the fraction of susceptible individuals on the population. We can estimate how many individuals have been infected by subject i over time as:.....
    Document: Let us consider, first, an scenario (in physics know as mean-field) in which an infected subject i makes k contacts each time step. Assuming an infection probability β, the expected number of individuals infected by i at each time step is β k ρ S , where ρ S is the fraction of susceptible individuals on the population. We can estimate how many individuals have been infected by subject i over time as:

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