Author: Alex Arenas; Wesley Cota; Jesus Gomez-Gardenes; Sergio Gomez; Clara Granell; Joan T. Matamalas; David Soriano-Panos; Benjamin Steinegger
Title: Derivation of the effective reproduction number R for COVID-19 in relation to mobility restrictions and confinement Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: nyjjaasw_46
Snippet: where p g denotes the degree of mobility of individuals within age group g, and P g i (t) denotes the probability that those individuals get infected by the pathogen inside region i. This way, the first term in the r.h.s. of Eq. (12) denotes the probability of contracting the disease inside the residence patch, whereas the second term contains those contagions taking place in any of the neighboring areas. The expression for P g i (t) is quite inv.....
Document: where p g denotes the degree of mobility of individuals within age group g, and P g i (t) denotes the probability that those individuals get infected by the pathogen inside region i. This way, the first term in the r.h.s. of Eq. (12) denotes the probability of contracting the disease inside the residence patch, whereas the second term contains those contagions taking place in any of the neighboring areas. The expression for P g i (t) is quite involved, since it takes into account the infection probabilities, the average number of contacts of the individuals, the population density in each region, the probabilities of contacts between the different age strata, and the isolation of infected individuals; see Supplementary Note 1 for the full description of the model.
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